Alverca–
Casa Pia
Primeira LigaPortugal11AI analysis of Alverca vs Casa Pia (Primeira Liga). Our model rates Alverca the most likely outcome at 46%. See the full 1/X/2 probabilities and our historical track record below; the recommended pick is available on our bot.
AI probabilities
Head-to-head and form
Recent form
Alverca: 3W-2D-5L · 30% win rate · 13 goals scored · 14 goals conceded · Falling
Casa Pia: 2W-1D-7L · 20% win rate · 5 goals scored · 19 goals conceded · Stable
AI verdict
A Alverca 1–1 C Casa Pia
❌ AI was wrong
Track record
Primeira Liga: 52% (13/25)
The model's analysis
🏠⚠️ PREDICTION 🏠⚠️
Alverca vs Casa Pia
🏆 Primeira Liga
📅 11/7/2026
📋 SUMMARY
Home team win - Expected result: 2-0 (slight advantage)
📊 PROBABILITY
Home Win: 46%
Draw: 28%
Away Win: 26%
🎯 EXPECTED RESULT
2-0 (Confidence: 42%)
💰 RECOMMENDATION
STRATEGIC ADVICE: 1X (Home Win or Draw) 74% - Fair odds (model est.): 1.35
📈 HISTORICAL INSIGHTS
• Alverca: 3W-2D-5L (30% win rate)
• Casa Pia: 2W-1D-7L (20% win rate)