AI analysis of Cerro Largo vs Nacional Montevideo (Primera División Uruguay). Our model rates Nacional Montevideo the most likely outcome at 35%. See the full 1/X/2 probabilities and our historical track record below; the recommended pick is available on our bot.
AI probabilities
Head-to-head and form
Previous meetings
1 previous meetings · 0 wins Cerro Largo · 0 draws · 1 wins Nacional Montevideo
Goals average: Cerro Largo 0 · Nacional Montevideo 3 · Balanced
Recent form
Cerro Largo: 1W-6D-3L · 10% win rate · 7 goals scored · 12 goals conceded · Falling
Nacional Montevideo: 4W-3D-3L · 40% win rate · 12 goals scored · 12 goals conceded · Falling
AI verdict
C Cerro Largo 0–2 N Nacional Montevideo
✅ AI was correct
Track record
Primera División Uruguay: 47.6% (10/21)
The model's analysis
✈️⚠️ PREDICTION ✈️⚠️
Cerro Largo vs Nacional Montevideo
🏆 Primera División Uruguay
📅 9/26/2026
📋 SUMMARY
Away team win - Expected result: 1-2 (evenly matched)
📊 PROBABILITY
Home Win: 33%
Draw: 32%
Away Win: 35%
🎯 EXPECTED RESULT
1-2 (Confidence: 34%)
💰 RECOMMENDATION
STRATEGIC ADVICE: X2 (Draw or Away Win) 67% - Fair odds (model est.): 1.49
📈 HISTORICAL INSIGHTS
• Cerro Largo: 1W-6D-3L (10% win rate)
• Nacional Montevideo: 4W-3D-3L (40% win rate)
• Head to Head: 0 H wins - 0D - 1 A wins (1 matches)
• Matches between these teams usually high-scoring