AI analysis of Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers (Championship). Our model rates Bolton Wanderers the most likely outcome at 52%. See the full 1/X/2 probabilities and our historical track record below; the recommended pick is available on our bot.
AI probabilities
Head-to-head and form
Recent form
Derby County: 0W-3D-7L · 0% win rate · 6 goals scored · 22 goals conceded · Stable
Bolton Wanderers: 4W-1D-5L · 40% win rate · 15 goals scored · 21 goals conceded · Falling
AI verdict
D Derby County 3–1 B Bolton Wanderers
❌ AI was wrong
Track record
Championship: 49.3% (36/73)
The model's analysis
✈️⚠️ PREDICTION ✈️⚠️
Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers
🏆 Championship
📅 11/6/2026
📋 SUMMARY
Away team win - Expected result: 1-2 (moderate imbalance)
📊 PROBABILITY
Home Win: 24%
Draw: 24%
Away Win: 52%
🎯 EXPECTED RESULT
1-2 (Confidence: 45%)
💰 RECOMMENDATION
STRATEGIC ADVICE: X2 (Draw or Away Win) 76% - Fair odds (model est.): 1.32
📈 HISTORICAL INSIGHTS
• Derby County: 0W-3D-7L (0% win rate)
• Bolton Wanderers: 4W-1D-5L (40% win rate)