AI analysis of Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes (Major League Soccer). Our model rates Minnesota United the most likely outcome at 51%. See the full 1/X/2 probabilities and our historical track record below; the recommended pick is available on our bot.
AI probabilities
Head-to-head and form
Previous meetings
1 previous meetings · 1 wins Minnesota United · 0 draws · 0 wins San Jose Earthquakes
Goals average: Minnesota United 5 · San Jose Earthquakes 1 · Balanced
Recent form
Minnesota United: 3W-3D-4L · 30% win rate · 19 goals scored · 20 goals conceded · Stable
San Jose Earthquakes: 4W-5D-1L · 40% win rate · 16 goals scored · 14 goals conceded · Stable
AI verdict
M Minnesota United 3–1 S San Jose Earthquakes
✅ AI was correct
Track record
Major League Soccer: 40.4% (23/57)
The model's analysis
🏠⚠️ PREDICTION 🏠⚠️
Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes
🏆 Major League Soccer
📅 11/8/2026
📋 SUMMARY
Home team win - Expected result: 2-0 (moderate imbalance)
📊 PROBABILITY
Home Win: 51%
Draw: 22%
Away Win: 27%
🎯 EXPECTED RESULT
2-0 (Confidence: 45%)
💰 RECOMMENDATION
STRATEGIC ADVICE: 1X (Home Win or Draw) 73% - Fair odds (model est.): 1.37
📈 HISTORICAL INSIGHTS
• Minnesota United: 3W-3D-4L (30% win rate)
• San Jose Earthquakes: 4W-5D-1L (40% win rate)
• Head to Head: 1 H wins - 0D - 0 A wins (1 matches)
• Matches between these teams usually high-scoring