Philadelphia Union–
Toronto FC
Major League SoccerUnited States34AI analysis of Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC (Major League Soccer). Our model rates Philadelphia Union the most likely outcome at 58%. See the full 1/X/2 probabilities and our historical track record below; the recommended pick is available on our bot.
AI probabilities
Head-to-head and form
Previous meetings
1 previous meetings · 0 wins Philadelphia Union · 1 draws · 0 wins Toronto FC
Goals average: Philadelphia Union 3 · Toronto FC 3 · Balanced
Recent form
Philadelphia Union: 6W-2D-2L · 60% win rate · 26 goals scored · 12 goals conceded · Falling
Toronto FC: 4W-1D-5L · 40% win rate · 15 goals scored · 21 goals conceded · Falling
AI verdict
P Philadelphia Union 4–1 T Toronto FC
✅ AI was correct
Track record
Major League Soccer: 40.4% (23/57)
The model's analysis
🏠⚠️ PREDICTION 🏠⚠️
Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC
🏆 Major League Soccer
📅 11/7/2026
📋 SUMMARY
Home team win - Expected result: 2-1 (strong strength gap)
📊 PROBABILITY
Home Win: 58%
Draw: 21%
Away Win: 21%
🎯 EXPECTED RESULT
2-1 (Confidence: 49%)
💰 RECOMMENDATION
STRATEGIC ADVICE: 1X (Home Win or Draw) 79% - Fair odds (model est.): 1.27
📈 HISTORICAL INSIGHTS
• Philadelphia Union: 6W-2D-2L (60% win rate)
• Toronto FC: 4W-1D-5L (40% win rate)
• Head to Head: 0 H wins - 1D - 0 A wins (1 matches)
• Matches between these teams usually high-scoring