Progreso–
Racing Montevideo
Primera División UruguayUruguay8AI analysis of Progreso vs Racing Montevideo (Primera División Uruguay). Our model rates Progreso the most likely outcome at 39%. See the full 1/X/2 probabilities and our historical track record below; the recommended pick is available on our bot.
AI probabilities
Head-to-head and form
Previous meetings
1 previous meetings · 0 wins Progreso · 1 draws · 0 wins Racing Montevideo
Goals average: Progreso 1 · Racing Montevideo 1 · Balanced
Recent form
Progreso: 4W-0D-6L · 40% win rate · 7 goals scored · 12 goals conceded · Stable
Racing Montevideo: 4W-4D-2L · 40% win rate · 10 goals scored · 7 goals conceded · Falling
AI verdict
P Progreso 2–1 R Racing Montevideo
✅ AI was correct
Track record
Primera División Uruguay: 47.6% (10/21)
The model's analysis
🏠⚠️ PREDICTION 🏠⚠️
Progreso vs Racing Montevideo
🏆 Primera División Uruguay
📅 9/26/2026
📋 SUMMARY
Home team win - Expected result: 2-0 (evenly matched)
📊 PROBABILITY
Home Win: 39%
Draw: 35%
Away Win: 26%
🎯 EXPECTED RESULT
2-0 (Confidence: 37%)
💰 RECOMMENDATION
STRATEGIC ADVICE: 1X (Home Win or Draw) 74% - Fair odds (model est.): 1.35
📈 HISTORICAL INSIGHTS
• Progreso: 4W-0D-6L (40% win rate)
• Racing Montevideo: 4W-4D-2L (40% win rate)
• Head to Head: 0 H wins - 1D - 0 A wins (1 matches)